NFL Survivor · 2026
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Ranked pot-share EV for this week’s slate — win probability, Herd %, and remaining future value in one view.
Top EV
LAC 1.13
82.7% win · 29.1% herd
Safest
82.7%
LAC · -11.5
Herd leader
29.1%
LAC leads the herd
Available
32
0 marked used
Tap a team to mark it used. Sort any column.
| # | Opp | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs ARI | -11.5 | 82.7% | 29.12% | 1.13 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 2 | vs CLE | -7.5 | 76.6% | 11.68% | 1.12 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 3 | vs WSH | -4.5 | 65.7% | 2.62% | 1.00 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 4 | vs NO | -7 | 72.6% | 22.63% | 0.98 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 5 | vs MIA | -3.5 | 64.5% | 3.94% | 0.97 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 6 | vs TB | -3.5 | 63.1% | 1.28% | 0.96 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 7 | vs NE | -3.5 | 63.7% | 4.36% | 0.96 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 8 | @ IND | -3.5 | 62.2% | 1.43% | 0.95 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 9 | vs SF | -3.5 | 61.6% | 3.29% | 0.93 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 10 | vs ATL | -3 | 60.9% | 1.75% | 0.93 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 11 | vs DEN | -3 | 59.3% | 0.79% | 0.92 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 12 | vs NYJ | -3 | 58.3% | 4.57% | 0.87 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 13 | @ NYG | -2.5 | 57.2% | 2.38% | 0.87 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 14 | @ CAR | -2.5 | 57.2% | 2.85% | 0.86 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 15 | @ HOU | -1.5 | 52.2% | 1.09% | 0.80 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 16 | @ MIN | -1.5 | 51.1% | 0.53% | 0.78 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 17 | vs GB | +1.5 | 48.9% | 0.18% | 0.76 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 18 | vs BUF | +1.5 | 47.8% | 0.13% | 0.74 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 19 | vs CHI | +2.5 | 42.8% | 0.13% | 0.68 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 20 | vs DAL | +2.5 | 42.8% | 0.26% | 0.67 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 21 | @ TEN | +3 | 41.7% | 0.34% | 0.67 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 22 | @ KC | +3 | 40.7% | 1.56% | 0.62 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 23 | @ PIT | +3 | 39.1% | 0.19% | 0.61 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 24 | @ LAR | +3.5 | 38.4% | 0.49% | 0.61 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 25 | vs BAL | +3.5 | 37.8% | 0.10% | 0.59 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 26 | @ SEA | +3.5 | 36.3% | 1.33% | 0.58 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 27 | @ CIN | +3.5 | 36.9% | 0.29% | 0.57 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 28 | @ LV | +3.5 | 35.5% | 0.32% | 0.57 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 29 | @ DET | +7 | 27.4% | 0.08% | 0.56 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 30 | @ PHI | +4.5 | 34.3% | 0.03% | 0.54 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 31 | @ JAX | +7.5 | 23.4% | 0.13% | 0.42 | ◆◆◆◆◆ | |
| 32 | @ LAC | +11.5 | 17.3% | 0.13% | 0.41 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
No teams used yet — click a team above to mark it used.
Projected spreads by week from market lines. Cells heat by matchup strength — green for favorites, red for underdogs. Click any column to sort; current-week cells show pot-share EV when pick data is open.
| ARI | 0.41 | SEA +10 | @SF +11.5 | @NYG +7 | DET +8.5 | @LAR +13.5 | DEN +7.5 | @DAL +10.5 | @SEA -10 | LAR -13.5 | @KC +11.5 | WSH +4.5 | PHI +8.5 | bye | NYJ +1.5 | @NO +5.5 | LV +1.5 | SF -11.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0.61 | CAR -1.5 | @GB +7.5 | @NO +2.5 | BAL +4.5 | CHI +3 | SF +4.5 | @TB +4.5 | CIN +5.5 | KC +4.5 | bye | @MIN +4.5 | DET +3.5 | @CLE +1.5 | @WSH +3.5 | TB -4.5 | NO -2.5 | @CAR +1.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| BAL | 0.95 | NO -7.5 | @DAL -2.5 | TEN -8.5 | @ATL -4.5 | @CLE -6.5 | CIN -3.5 | @BUF +2.5 | JAX -4.5 | LAC -3.5 | @CAR -4.5 | @HOU +1.5 | bye | TB -6 | @PIT -2.5 | CLE +6.5 | @CIN +3.5 | PIT +2.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| BUF | 0.80 | DET -3 | LAC -3 | NE -3 | @LAR +3 | @LV -6.5 | bye | BAL -2.5 | @MIN -3 | @NYJ -7 | MIA -11.5 | KC -2.5 | @NE +3 | @GB +1.5 | CHI -3.5 | @DEN -1.5 | @MIA +11.5 | NYJ +7 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| CAR | 0.68 | @ATL +1.5 | @CLE -1.5 | DET +3 | bye | @PHI +6.5 | TB +1.5 | @GB +7 | DEN +3 | @NO +1.5 | BAL +4.5 | @TB -1.5 | @MIN +3.5 | NO -1.5 | CIN +2.5 | @PIT +3.5 | SEA +5.5 | ATL -1.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| CHI | 0.86 | MIN -3.5 | PHI -1.5 | NYJ -8.5 | @GB +3 | @ATL -3 | NE -1.5 | @SEA +4.5 | TB -3.5 | bye | NO -6.5 | @DET +2.5 | JAX -2.5 | @MIA -5.5 | @BUF +3.5 | GB -3 | DET -2.5 | @MIN +3.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| CIN | 0.96 | @HOU +2.5 | @PIT -1.5 | JAX -2.5 | @MIA -6 | bye | @BAL +3.5 | TEN -6.5 | @ATL -5.5 | PIT +1.5 | @WSH -1.5 | NO -6.5 | @CLE -4.5 | KC -1.5 | @CAR -2.5 | @IND -1.5 | BAL -3.5 | CLE +4.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| CLE | 0.42 | @TB +6 | CAR +1.5 | PIT +2.5 | @NYJ +1.5 | BAL +6.5 | @TEN +2.5 | @PIT -2.5 | @NO +3.5 | HOU +4.5 | bye | LV -1.5 | CIN +4.5 | ATL -1.5 | @NYG +4.5 | @BAL -6.5 | IND +2.5 | @CIN -4.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| DAL | 0.87 | WSH -4.5 | BAL +2.5 | @HOU +2.5 | TB -3.5 | @GB +3 | @PHI +3 | ARI -10.5 | @IND -1.5 | SF -1.5 | TEN -6.5 | PHI -3 | @SEA +4.5 | bye | @LAR +6 | JAX -3 | NYG +2.5 | @WSH +4.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| DEN | 0.62 | JAX -2.5 | LAR +3 | @SF +2.5 | @LAC +2.5 | SEA +2.5 | @ARI -7.5 | KC -3 | @CAR -3 | bye | LV -7.5 | @PIT -1.5 | MIA -9.5 | @NYJ -5.5 | @LV +7.5 | BUF +1.5 | @NE +2.5 | LAC -2.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| DET | 0.98 | @BUF +3 | NYJ -9.5 | @CAR -3 | @ARI -8.5 | bye | GB -2.5 | MIN -4.5 | @MIA -6.5 | NE -1.5 | TB -4.5 | CHI -2.5 | @ATL -3.5 | TEN -7.5 | @MIN +4.5 | NYG -4.5 | @CHI +2.5 | @GB +2.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| GB | 0.78 | @NYJ -6 | ATL -7.5 | @TB -1.5 | CHI -3 | DAL -3 | @DET +2.5 | CAR -7 | @NE +1.5 | MIN +1.5 | bye | @LAR +4.5 | @NO -4.5 | BUF -1.5 | MIA -10.5 | @CHI +3 | HOU -2.5 | DET -2.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| HOU | 0.74 | CIN -2.5 | @IND -1.5 | DAL -2.5 | @TEN -3.5 | @JAX +1.5 | NYG -5.5 | bye | @LAC +2.5 | @CLE -4.5 | IND +1.5 | BAL -1.5 | @PIT -1.5 | @WSH -1.5 | JAX -1.5 | @PHI +2.5 | @GB +2.5 | TEN +3.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| IND | 0.59 | @KC +6.5 | HOU +1.5 | @WSH +1.5 | @PIT +2.5 | TEN -3.5 | @MIN +2.5 | @JAX +4.5 | DAL +1.5 | MIA -6.5 | @HOU -1.5 | NYG -2.5 | bye | @PHI +5.5 | @TEN +3.5 | CIN +1.5 | @CLE -2.5 | JAX -4.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| JAX | 1.12 | @DEN +2.5 | NE -1.5 | @CIN +2.5 | PHI +1.5 | HOU -1.5 | bye | IND -4.5 | @BAL +4.5 | @TEN -2.5 | @NYG -1.5 | TEN +2.5 | @CHI +2.5 | PIT -3 | @HOU +1.5 | @DAL +3 | WSH -3.5 | @IND +4.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| KC | 0.92 | IND -6.5 | @MIA -7.5 | @LV -5.5 | bye | LAC -2.5 | @SEA +3 | @DEN +3 | NYJ -9.5 | @ATL -4.5 | ARI -11.5 | @BUF +2.5 | @LAR +3.5 | @CIN +1.5 | NE -2.5 | SF -3 | @LAC +2.5 | LV +5.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| LV | 0.97 | @LAC +8.5 | @NO +3.5 | KC +5.5 | @NE +8.5 | BUF +6.5 | LAR +7.5 | @NYJ +1.5 | @SF +8.5 | SEA +7 | @DEN +7.5 | @CLE +1.5 | bye | LAC -8.5 | DEN -7.5 | TEN -1.5 | @ARI -1.5 | @KC -5.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| LAC | 1.13 | LV -8.5 | @BUF +3 | @SEA +3 | DEN -2.5 | @KC +2.5 | bye | @LAR +4.5 | HOU -2.5 | @BAL +3.5 | NYJ -9.5 | NE -1.5 | @TB -2.5 | @LV +8.5 | SF -2.5 | @MIA -7 | KC -2.5 | @DEN +2.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| LAR | 0.93 | NYG -8.5 | @DEN -3 | @PHI -1.5 | BUF -3 | ARI -13.5 | @LV -7.5 | LAC -4.5 | @WSH -4.5 | @ARI +13.5 | bye | GB -4.5 | KC -3.5 | @SF +3.5 | DAL -6 | @SEA +1.5 | @TB -4.5 | SEA -1.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| MIA | 0.57 | @SF +10.5 | KC +7.5 | @MIN +7.5 | CIN +6 | bye | @NYJ +2.5 | NE +7 | DET +6.5 | @IND +6.5 | @BUF +11.5 | NYJ -2.5 | @DEN +9.5 | CHI +5.5 | @GB +10.5 | LAC +7 | BUF -11.5 | @NE -7 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| MIN | 0.76 | @CHI +3.5 | @TB +1.5 | MIA -7.5 | @NO -1.5 | bye | IND -2.5 | @DET +4.5 | BUF +3 | @GB -1.5 | @SF +3.5 | ATL -4.5 | CAR -3.5 | @NE +4.5 | DET -4.5 | WSH -2.5 | @NYJ -3.5 | CHI -3.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| NE | 0.58 | PIT -4.5 | @JAX +1.5 | @BUF +3 | LV -8.5 | NYJ -9.5 | @CHI +1.5 | @MIA -7 | GB -1.5 | @DET +1.5 | bye | @LAC +1.5 | BUF -3 | MIN -4.5 | @KC +2.5 | @NYJ +9.5 | DEN -2.5 | MIA +7 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| NO | 0.56 | @BAL +7.5 | LV -3.5 | ATL -2.5 | MIN +1.5 | @NYG +2.5 | PIT +2.5 | bye | CLE -3.5 | CAR -1.5 | @CHI +6.5 | @CIN +6.5 | GB +4.5 | @CAR +1.5 | @TB +3.5 | ARI -5.5 | @ATL +2.5 | TB -3.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| NYG | 0.67 | @LAR +8.5 | TEN -3 | ARI -7 | @WSH +1.5 | NO -2.5 | @HOU +5.5 | bye | @PHI +5.5 | WSH -1.5 | JAX +1.5 | @IND +2.5 | SF +3 | @SEA +7.5 | CLE -4.5 | @DET +4.5 | @DAL -2.5 | PHI -5.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| NYJ | 0.67 | GB +6 | @DET +9.5 | @CHI +8.5 | CLE -1.5 | @NE +9.5 | MIA -2.5 | LV -1.5 | @KC +9.5 | BUF +7 | @LAC +9.5 | @MIA +2.5 | bye | DEN +5.5 | @ARI -1.5 | NE -9.5 | MIN +3.5 | @BUF -7 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| PHI | 1.00 | @TEN -4.5 | @CHI +1.5 | LAR +1.5 | @JAX -1.5 | CAR -6.5 | DAL -3 | @WSH +4.5 | NYG -5.5 | bye | PIT -5.5 | @DAL +3 | @ARI -8.5 | IND -5.5 | SEA -1.5 | HOU -2.5 | @SF +1.5 | @NYG +5.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| PIT | 0.93 | @NE +4.5 | CIN +1.5 | @CLE -2.5 | IND -2.5 | @TB +1.5 | @NO -2.5 | CLE +2.5 | bye | @CIN -1.5 | @PHI +5.5 | DEN +1.5 | HOU +1.5 | @JAX +3 | BAL +2.5 | CAR -3.5 | @TEN -1.5 | @BAL -2.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| SF | 0.61 | MIA -10.5 | ARI -11.5 | DEN -2.5 | @SEA +3.5 | WSH -5.5 | @ATL -4.5 | bye | LV -8.5 | @DAL +1.5 | MIN -3.5 | SEA -3.5 | @NYG -3 | LAR -3.5 | @LAC +2.5 | @KC +3 | PHI -1.5 | @ARI +11.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| SEA | 0.96 | @ARI -10 | @WSH -3.5 | LAC -3 | SF -3.5 | @DEN -2.5 | KC -3 | CHI -4.5 | ARI +10 | @LV -7 | bye | @SF +3.5 | DAL -4.5 | NYG -7.5 | @PHI +1.5 | LAR -1.5 | @CAR -5.5 | @LAR +1.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| TB | 0.57 | CLE -6 | MIN -1.5 | GB +1.5 | @DAL +3.5 | PIT -1.5 | @CAR -1.5 | ATL -4.5 | @CHI +3.5 | bye | @DET +4.5 | CAR +1.5 | LAC +2.5 | @BAL +6 | NO -3.5 | @ATL +4.5 | LAR +4.5 | @NO +3.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| TEN | 0.87 | PHI +4.5 | @NYG +3 | @BAL +8.5 | HOU +3.5 | @IND +3.5 | CLE -2.5 | @CIN +6.5 | bye | JAX +2.5 | @DAL +6.5 | @JAX -2.5 | WSH +1.5 | @DET +7.5 | IND -3.5 | @LV +1.5 | PIT +1.5 | @HOU -3.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |
| WSH | 0.54 | @DAL +4.5 | SEA +3.5 | IND -1.5 | NYG -1.5 | @SF +5.5 | bye | PHI -4.5 | LAR +4.5 | @NYG +1.5 | CIN +1.5 | @ARI -4.5 | @TEN -1.5 | HOU +1.5 | ATL -3.5 | @MIN +2.5 | @JAX +3.5 | DAL -4.5 | ◆◆◆◆◆ |