Don’t run with the herd.

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Top EV

JAX 1.16

77.7% win · 9.0% Herd · best pot share this week

The Herd

CIN 43.9%

80.0% win · most popular pick

Survival Pick

Pool Size

Season Pass unlocks Medium and Large pool EV

This week’s picks

Tap a team to burn it. Sort any column — Herd % is a heat map (green = low ownership, red = crowded).

0 burned · 28 left

#	Opp
1	vs IND	-9.5	77.7%	9.04%	1.16
2	vs ARI	-6.5	72.6%	3.53%	1.11
3	vs LAC	-6.5	71.4%	8.74%	1.05
4	@ MIA	-6.5	73.4%	16.97%	1.03
5	vs PHI	-5.5	65.7%	0.66%	1.02
6	vs TEN	-10.5	80.0%	43.86%	0.99
7	vs CLE	-3.5	62.2%	0.88%	0.97
8	vs CAR	-3.5	62.2%	3.60%	0.95
9	vs MIN	-3.5	60.4%	0.44%	0.95
10	vs CHI	-3.5	60.0%	1.10%	0.93
11	vs BAL	-3.5	60.9%	3.97%	0.92
12	vs ATL	-2.5	55.1%	0.22%	0.86
13	vs LV	-1.5	52.6%	0.37%	0.83
14	@ DEN	-1.5	52.6%	0.66%	0.82
15	vs KC	+1.5	47.4%	0.15%	0.74
16	@ NYJ	+1.5	47.4%	1.69%	0.73
17	@ TB	+2.5	44.9%	0.29%	0.70
18	@ BUF	+3.5	39.1%	0.15%	0.64
19	@ SEA	+3.5	40.0%	0.44%	0.63
20	@ DET	+3.5	39.6%	1.25%	0.61
21	@ GB	+3.5	37.8%	0.59%	0.61
22	@ PIT	+3.5	37.8%	0.44%	0.59
23	@ CIN	+10.5	20.0%	0.07%	0.57
24	@ WSH	+5.5	34.3%	0.22%	0.54
25	vs NE	+6.5	26.6%	0.29%	0.52
26	@ LAR	+6.5	28.6%	0.15%	0.50
27	@ DAL	+6.5	27.4%	0.22%	0.45
28	@ JAX	+9.5	22.3%	—	—
	Bye	—	—	—	—
	Bye	—	—	—	—
	Bye	—	—	—	—
	Bye	—	—	—	—

Teams you’ve burned

No teams burned yet — tap a team above to burn it this season.

Season planner

Projected spreads by week from market lines. Cells heat by matchup strength — green for favorites, red for underdogs. Click any column to sort; current-week cells show pot-share EV when pick data is open.


ARI	0.45	@SEA +10.5	LAR +10.5	@KC +11.5	WSH +4.5	PHI +8.5	bye	NYJ +1.5	@NO +5.5	LV +1.5	SF +8.5
ATL	0.70	CIN +3	KC +4.5	bye	@MIN +4.5	DET +3.5	@CLE +1.5	@WSH +3.5	TB +1.5	NO -1.5	@CAR +2.5
BAL	0.64	JAX -2.5	LAC -3.5	@CAR -4.5	@HOU +1.5	bye	TB -6	@PIT -2.5	CLE -10	@CIN +2.5	PIT -5.5
BUF	0.92	@MIN -2.5	@NYJ -7	MIA -11.5	KC -2.5	@NE +1.5	@GB +1.5	CHI -3.5	@DEN -1.5	@MIA -7.5	NYJ -10
CAR	0.61	DEN +2.5	@NO +1.5	BAL +4.5	@TB +3.5	@MIN +3.5	NO -2.5	CIN +2.5	@PIT +3.5	SEA +5.5	ATL -2.5
CHI	0.63	TB -6	bye	NO -6.5	@DET +2.5	JAX -3	@MIA -5.5	@BUF +3.5	GB -1.5	DET -1.5	@MIN +1.5
CIN	0.99	@ATL -3	PIT -3.5	@WSH -1.5	NO -6.5	@CLE -4.5	KC -1.5	@CAR -2.5	@IND -1.5	BAL -2.5	CLE -7.5
CLE	0.59	@NO +2.5	HOU +4.5	bye	LV -1.5	CIN +4.5	ATL -1.5	@NYG +4.5	@BAL +10	IND +2.5	@CIN +7.5
DAL	1.11	@IND -3.5	SF -1.5	TEN -6.5	PHI -1.5	@SEA +4.5	bye	@LAR +6	JAX -3	NYG -4.5	@WSH -1.5
DEN	0.74	@CAR -2.5	bye	LV -7.5	@PIT -1.5	MIA -9.5	@NYJ -5.5	@LV -4.5	BUF +1.5	@NE +2.5	LAC -1.5
DET	0.95	@MIA -7	NE —	TB -4.5	CHI -2.5	@ATL -3.5	TEN -7.5	@MIN -1.5	NYG -4.5	@CHI +1.5	@GB +2.5
GB	0.95	@NE +3	MIN -4.5	bye	@LAR +4.5	@NO -4.5	BUF -1.5	MIA -10.5	@CHI +1.5	HOU -2.5	DET -2.5
HOU	bye	@LAC -3	@CLE -4.5	IND -5.5	BAL -1.5	@PIT -1.5	@WSH -1.5	JAX -3	@PHI +2.5	@GB +2.5	TEN -7
IND	@JAX +9.5	DAL +3.5	MIA -6.5	@HOU +5.5	NYG -2.5	bye	@PHI +5.5	@TEN -1.5	CIN +1.5	@CLE -2.5	JAX -1.5
JAX	1.16	@BAL +2.5	@TEN -2.5	@NYG -1.5	TEN -5.5	@CHI +3	PIT -3	@HOU +3	@DAL +3	WSH -3.5	@IND +1.5
KC	0.82	NYJ -9.5	@ATL -4.5	ARI -11.5	@BUF +2.5	@LAR +3.5	@CIN +1.5	NE -2.5	SF -3	@LAC +1.5	LV -8.5
LV	0.73	@SF +9.5	SEA +7	@DEN +7.5	@CLE +1.5	bye	LAC +5.5	DEN +4.5	TEN -1.5	@ARI -1.5	@KC +8.5
LAC	0.50	HOU +3	@BAL +3.5	NYJ -9.5	NE -1.5	@TB -2.5	@LV -5.5	SF -2.5	@MIA -7	KC -1.5	@DEN +1.5
LAR	1.05	@WSH -5.5	@ARI -10.5	bye	GB -4.5	KC -3.5	@SF -1.5	DAL -6	@SEA —	@TB -4.5	SEA -3
MIA	0.52	DET +7	@IND +6.5	@BUF +11.5	NYJ -1.5	@DEN +9.5	CHI +5.5	@GB +10.5	LAC +7	BUF +7.5	@NE +10.5
MIN	0.61	BUF +2.5	@GB +4.5	@SF +3.5	ATL -4.5	CAR -3.5	@NE +4.5	DET +1.5	WSH -2.5	@NYJ -3.5	CHI -1.5
NE	1.03	GB -3	@DET —	bye	@LAC +1.5	BUF -1.5	MIN -4.5	@KC +2.5	@NYJ -6.5	DEN -2.5	MIA -10.5
NO	bye	CLE -2.5	CAR -1.5	@CHI +6.5	@CIN +6.5	GB +4.5	@CAR +2.5	@TB +3.5	ARI -5.5	@ATL +1.5	TB +1.5
NYG	bye	@PHI -1.5	WSH -1.5	JAX +1.5	@IND +2.5	SF +3	@SEA +7.5	CLE -4.5	@DET +4.5	@DAL +4.5	PHI +3
NYJ	0.83	@KC +9.5	BUF +7	@LAC +9.5	@MIA +1.5	bye	DEN +5.5	@ARI -1.5	NE +6.5	MIN +3.5	@BUF +10
PHI	0.54	NYG +1.5	bye	PIT -5.5	@DAL +1.5	@ARI -8.5	IND -5.5	SEA -1.5	HOU -2.5	@SF +1.5	@NYG -3
PIT	0.97	bye	@CIN +3.5	@PHI +5.5	DEN +1.5	HOU +1.5	@JAX +3	BAL +2.5	CAR -3.5	@TEN -1.5	@BAL +5.5
SF	bye	LV -9.5	@DAL +1.5	MIN -3.5	SEA +1.5	@NYG -3	LAR +1.5	@LAC +2.5	@KC +3	PHI -1.5	@ARI -8.5
SEA	0.93	ARI -10.5	@LV -7	bye	@SF -1.5	DAL -4.5	NYG -7.5	@PHI +1.5	LAR —	@CAR -5.5	@LAR +3
TB	0.86	@CHI +6	bye	@DET +4.5	CAR -3.5	LAC +2.5	@BAL +6	NO -3.5	@ATL -1.5	LAR +4.5	@NO -1.5
TEN	0.57	bye	JAX +2.5	@DAL +6.5	@JAX +5.5	WSH +1.5	@DET +7.5	IND +1.5	@LV +1.5	PIT +1.5	@HOU +7
WSH	1.02	LAR +5.5	@NYG +1.5	CIN +1.5	@ARI -4.5	@TEN -1.5	HOU +1.5	ATL -3.5	@MIN +2.5	@JAX +3.5	DAL +1.5

Optimal path

Monte Carlo burn order using Survival Pick scores for your pool size. Closed weeks estimate the herd from the projected spread; Future Value shrinks as remaining weeks burn off.

Season Pass unlocks a simulated burn path and survival rate for your remaining teams.